Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 4/12/14
New Orleans Pelicans (32-46) at Houston Rockets (52-26)
NBA Basketball: Saturday, April 12, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Toyota Center)
The Line: Houston Rockets -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Fox Sports New Orleans, CSN Houston
The New Orleans Pelicans and Houston Rockets will meet up for the first of two meetings to finish up the regular season. The Rockets have already won the first two matchups earlier this season.
The Pelicans are just waiting for the season to come to an end, as they’ve lost seven straight games. Eric Gordon and Anthony Davis have been shut down for the rest of the year, and New Orleans is just a big mess right now. On the season, the Pelicans average 99.7 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allow 102.3 points on 46.5 percent shooting. The Pelicans are allowing teams to shoot 42.2 percent from three in their last five games. The New Orleans Pelicans are 34-38-6 ATS overall and 14-21-4 ATS on the road.
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The Rockets have lost two straight games and are in danger of losing home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. On the season, the Rockets average 107.7 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allow 103 points on 44.2 percent shooting. The Rockets defense has been a nightmare without Dwight Howard in the lineup, as they’ve allowed 10 of their last 12 opponents to top 100 points. Meanwhile, James Harden is knocking down 42.4 percent of his threes and averaging 29.4 points in his last five games. The Houston Rockets are 39-37-2 ATS overall and 21-16-2 ATS at home.
The Pelicans are 4-9-3 ATS in their last 16 road games and 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Pelicans are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Houston, while the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
I'm not confident in laying the big number between two teams that have been struggling lately. That's why I'll side with the over in this game. Neither team is playing great defense, and both teams should score well over 100 points in this offensive explosion.