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Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/6/14 Game One

Brooklyn Nets (44-38) at Miami Heat (54-28)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, May 6, 2014 at 7:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -7 -- Over/Under: 191.5 See the Latest Odds


The Brooklyn Nets and Miami Heat square off Tuesday night for game one of the NBA playoffs. The Nets swept the season series, 4-0.

The Nets knocked off the Toronto Raptors in the first round in seven games. During that series, the Nets averaged 99 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowed 97.2 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Joe Johnson has really carried the way throughout the playoffs, shooting 54.7 percent from the field and 44.4 percent from three, averaging 21.2 points. One of the concerns for the Nets has been their three-point shooting, as they shot just 33.6 percent in the Raptors series, which is about a three-percent decrease from their regular season average. The Nets are 21-4 SU in their last 25 games when scoring 100 or more points. The Brooklyn Nets are also 46-42-1 ATS overall and 20-23-1 ATS on the road.

Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/6/14 Game One


The Heat have had more than a week of rest since sweeping the Charlotte Bobcats in the first round. During that series, the Heat averaged 98.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowed 93.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting. LeBron James scored 30 or more points in three of the four games, and the Heat shot a lights out 40.7 percent from downtown. Dwyane Wade, who spent much of the season battling injuries, played no more than 34 minutes in a single game and shot 49.1 percent from the field. The Heat play their first home game in forever, a place where they shoot 51.2 percent. The Miami Heat are 40-44-2 ATS overall and 19-23-1 ATS at home.

The Nets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 1 days rest. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Nets are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Miami.

While the Nets have had the Heat's number this season, they're still a veteran team that just played a seven game series. Meanwhile, the Heat have had more than a week of rest and will be ready to go at 100 percent. I like the Heat to win by double digits, which forces me to take Miami and the chalk.

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