San Antonio Spurs vs. Portland Trail Blazers Series Prediction, Odds, Pick
Portland Trail Blazers (54-28) at San Antonio Spurs (62-20)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, May 6, 2014 at 9:30 pm (AT&T Center)
Who will win the series? See the Latest Odds
TV: TNT, ESPN, ESPN2
The Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs is probably the most intriguing second round playoff matchup next to the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder. The last 10 meetings between these teams have been split right down the middle at five games apiece.
So, who do you pick if you’re looking to handicap the series? I say take the Trail Blazers right now +330. While everybody is still riding in the Spurs bandwagon, there’s absolutely no value in taking them at -400 to win the series. If you’re leaning the Spurs, you’re better off hoping they stumble early in the series so you can get them at a much cheaper price.
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However, I have the Trail Blazers winning this thing in six games or less. The reason is pretty straightforward, the Trail Blazers are a legit contender in the West. Damian Lillard is a top five point guard in the league right now and is absolutely playing out his mind. LaMarcus Aldridge will give Tim Duncan and company all he can handle and shouldn’t have much trouble producing at the level he did against the Rockets.
But while you know about the stars, the Trail Blazers have countless other guys who are contributing at a high level. Nicolas Batum is a clutch player who makes timely shots and scored 20-plus in two of the six games against the Rockets. Mo Williams is a veteran who is more than capable of providing 15-20 points off the bench. Then the Trail Blazers have bigs in Robin Lopez and Thomas Robinson who should wear down the Spurs in the paint.
The Spurs simply struggled against a slow Mavericks team that can go stretches without scoring the basketball. The problem is that the Spurs prefer to play the slower-paced basketball and were nearly beaten at their own game.
The Trail Blazers provide matchup problems and will be tough to handle when they get out in transition and start knocking down shots. Five of the eight teams remaining in the playoffs are teams that like to get up and down and get buckets in transition. There’s a reason for that.
I’ve been called crazy before, but there’s a ton of value in taking the Trail Blazers to win this series. Not to mention it’s tough to win in the Moda Center.
The Trail Blazers will continue this improbable ride and bounce the Spurs in the second round.