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Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat NBA Playoffs Series Prediction, Odds, Pick

Miami Heat (54-28) at Indiana Pacers (56-26)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)

The Line: Indiana Pacers -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The NBA playoff matchup everybody was looking forward to in the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers before the season began is finally here. The problem is that it doesn’t hold nearly the same weight with the Pacers struggling against both the Atlanta Hawks and Washington Wizards in the first two rounds.

So, from a betting perspective, where do we turn when handicapping the series?

Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat NBA Playoffs Series Prediction, Odds, Pick


Honestly, I don’t see this series being close whatsoever and hardly living up to the hype. The Pacers have simply been playing like hot garbage throughout the playoffs and are getting little to no production from anybody not named Paul George.

Roy Hibbert showed his face at times in the Washington series, but he has yet to have a playoff game of double-digit rebounds, and he scored just a combined 15 points in his last two games. It’s fair to say you can’t trust the Pacers big man and home court means nothing with this team considering they’re 3-4 SU at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in the playoffs.

The Heat have yet to play their best basketball in the playoffs, but they’ve still only needed nine games to advance to this point. If it wasn’t for 15 threes in game three against the Brooklyn Nets, the Heat would have swept their first two opponents. While the Pacers are averaging 87.6 points on 44.3 percent shooting in their last five games, the Heat are averaging 97.8 points on 49.7 percent shooting.

The Heat aren’t looking to play competitive series’, as they know they need to end things as quickly as possible with the Oklahoma City Thunder or San Antonio Spurs on tap. And besides the teams past history, there’s no reason to think the Pacers can make this series remotely interesting. In case you haven’t been watching, these aren’t the same Pacers from December.

With all of that said, I see the best value in a Heat sweep, but would also consider a Heat series win at 4-1. Seven playoff series since the ‘Big Three’ teamed up have gone five games, as the Heat are known to ease up on the intensity at least one game in a series.

However, I don’t see that being the case here and I’d take my chances with a Heat sweep at +400. 

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