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San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/25/14 Game Three

San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Oklahoma City Thunder (59-23)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 25, 2014 at 8:30 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)

The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Oklahoma City Thunder look to save their season when they host the San Antonio Spurs in game three of the Western Conference finals.

The Spurs continued to steamroll the Thunder in a 112-77 victory in game two, as they shot 50 percent from the field and received a combined 43 points from Tony Parker and Danny Green. The Spurs are now 8-2 SU in the playoffs when scoring 100 or more points. In the Spurs last five games, they’re averaging 109.6 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 94 points on 42.6 percent shooting. And while the Spurs are kicking butt and taking names, no player on the roster is averaging more than 33 minutes during the playoffs. The Spurs now go on the road where they average 104.4 points and allow 98.4 points. The San Antonio Spurs are 52-44 ATS overall and 26-20 ATS on the road.

San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/25/14 Game Three


In the game two loss, the Thunder shot just 10 percent from beyond the arc and received just four combined points from starters other than Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. The Thunder are now 4-6 SU in their playoffs when allowing 100 or more points. In the Thunders last five games, they’re averaging 98 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 107.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Westbrook is shooting just 35.6 percent from the field in this series and Durant is averaging less than five free throws per game. In a must win game, the Thunder return home where they average 107.5 points and allow 99.4 points. The Oklahoma City Thunder are 50-44-3 ATS overall and 26-20-2 ATS at home. 

The Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The home team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and Spurs are 3-10-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

If there's any game the Thunder are going to win, it's this one. Durant and Westbrook have yet to play complete game in this series and the three ball has to fall eventually. With the help from the home crowd, I like the Thunder to find a way to win and cover the small number. 

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