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Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/28/14 Game Five

Miami Heat (54-28) at Indiana Pacers (56-26)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, May 28, 2014 at 8:30 pm (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)

The Line: Indiana Pacers +2 -- Over/Under: 184 See the Latest Odds


The Miami Heat will look to close out the Indiana Pacers in game five of the Eastern Conference finals on Wednesday night.

The Heat won game four, 102-90, by shooting 46.2 percent from the field and getting 32 points from LeBron James. The Heat are now 5-0 SU in the playoffs when topping 100 points. In the Heat’s last five games, they’re averaging 96 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 92.2 points on 47 percent shooting. Chris Bosh finally had a good game against the Pacers, as he scored 25 points and bumped his series shooting percentage to 42.2 percent. Chris Anderson missed Monday’s game with a thigh bruise, but he’s expected to be back in the lineup for game five. The Miami Heat are 46-47-2 ATS overall and 23-23-1 ATS on the road.

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/28/14 Game Five


The Pacers shot 49.3 percent from the field in the game four loss and actually received production from their bench that scored 23 points. Roy Hibbert was held to zero points for the fourth time in the playoffs. It doesn’t happen often, but the Pacers are 1-8 SU in their last nine games when allowing 100 or more points. In the Pacers last five games, they’re averaging 92 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 92.8 points on 48.2 percent shooting. The Pacers now return home to avoid elimination, a place where they hold teams to 89 points on 43.2 percent shooting. The Indiana Pacers are 46-52-1 ATS overall and 24-25-1 ATS at home. 

The Heat are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, while the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Heat are simply imposing their will on the Pacers in this series and Indiana has little answer for it. Miami wants to close this thing out so it can rest until June 5 when the finals begin. I like the Heat to get the job done once again and cover the small chalk. 

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