NBA News: Handicapping 2014 NBA Win Totals, Odds, Predictions
Randy Looks at the win totals of some of the NBA Teams for the 2014 season
October 1, 2014
The Line: See the Latest Odds
The 2014 NBA season win totals were recently released and there are some absolute gifts out there if you look closely. While everybody is looking at their teams and thinking the win total is way too low, it’s important to be realistic and find the lines that actually provide value. After glancing over the lines and running some numbers, here are the five best bets from the NBA win totals that you should consider playing this season.
Miami Heat Over 43.5 - Since 2008, the Miami Heat have won at least 43 games, meaning even before LeBron James came they were still an above-average basketball team. This is more of a reaction from LeBron leaving the Heat, as Miami is still one of the better teams in the East and will be able to beat up on a watered down confrence most nights. The additions of Luol Deng and Josh McRoberts should help the Heat be a better offensive team, as the floor spacing and versatility is much better than it’s been in the past. You also have a Heat team that’s going to play with a chip on its shoulder and want to prove to the rest of the world that it’s more than capable of competing at the highest level even without LeBron. The Miami Heat will push for 48-50 wins this season, making this line a must bet.
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Philadelphia 76ers Over 15.5 - Not sure how the oddmakers came up with this win total, but the Philadelphia 76ers were absolutely dreadful last season and still managed to win 19 games. Now, Michael Carter-Williams has another year under his belt, head coach Brett Brown knows his players better and Nerlens Noel will finally be on the court. While the slight reasons for hope don’t make the 76ers a playoff team even in the East, they do make Philly more than capable of winning 20-25 games this season. The Philadelphia 76ers are a young team that just gained a year of experience and has nowhere to go but up on the defensive end of the floor. It’s going to take you some time before you’re able to cash this ticket, but the most important part is taking the over will give you a winner at the end of the season.
Cleveland Cavaliers Under 58.5 - Anybody how the Miami Heat started out of the gate with their first season as the Big Three? The Heat begin the year with a subpar 5-4 record, and then went on to have losing streaks of four and five games later in the year. The bottom line is that it takes time to learn how to play with one another and adjustments have to be made over the course of the season. LeBron, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love are all used to having the ball and being the go to guy. The problem the Cleveland Cavaliers have is that there’s only one basketball, meaning somebody has to take the backseat. Asking the Cavs to win 59 or more games is a stretch, especially considering they have a rookie head coach, limited depth and are playing together for the first time. Shoot, the Heat topped this win total once in their four seasons together, and that was three seasons deep. Take the under, as life isn’t always going to be peaches and cream for the Cavaliers this season.
Charlotte Hornets Over 45.5 - The Charlotte Hornets were a surprise team last season, winning 43 games and proving that a 1-2 punch of Kemba Walker and Al Jefferson can be pretty effective. Now, the Hornets have those guys in place along with Lance Stephenson, a player who is capable of being a dominant scorer and providing the Hornets with a much needed offensive punch. The Charlotte Hornets were one of the top defensive teams in the league last season, ranked fourth in points allowed. The addition of Stephenson gives the Hornets one of the best backcourts in the NBA and makes them a much more complete team. The Hornets are one of the more talented teams in the East and should top this projected win total by a few games.
Dallas Mavericks Over 49.5 - Not sure anybody was paying attention, but the Dallas Mavericks improved greatly during the offseason. The addition of Jameer Nelson gives the Mavs a much needed veteran point guard who can allow Monta Ellis to play the two-guard spot, while Chandler Parsons provides a scoring threat that will help end the Mavericks offensive droughts that they would sometimes fall into over the course of a game. When healthy, Tyson Chandler is also one of the best defensive centers in the game. Last year the Mavericks won 49 games, and that was with a roster full of old guys on their last leg. The Mavericks aren’t incredibly deep, but they’re now a lot more than Dirk Nowitzki and Ellis. The Mavs should top last year’s win total with the additions they made during the offseason.