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Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs - 12/20/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Antonio Spurs (17-9) at Dallas Mavericks (19-8)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, December 20, 2014 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks -10.5 -- Over/Under: 203.5 See the Latest Odds


The San Antonio Spurs look to avoid a fourth straight loss tonight when they visit the Dallas Mavericks.

I can't remember the last time I saw the San Antonio Spurs lose four games in a row, but that's what they're faced with tonight after their 129-119 triple overtime loss to the Blazers last night. Tim Duncan had a big game of 32 points, 10 rebounds and four blocks while Danny Green made six threes en route to 27 points, but while the Spurs held the Blazers to 42.7 percent shooting, there was just no stopping Damian Lillard who torched them for a career-high 43 points, including 16 points after regulation. The Spurs really needed another weapon but they were without Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker. With the loss, San Antonio drops to 17-10 overall and 8-4 at home.

Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs - 12/20/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks just landed Rajon Rondo in a trade with the Celtics and are now looking like serious contenders in the Western Conference. Offensively, Rondo will push the pace and set up players all over the court, but the Mavs are already leading the league in points per game, so it's actually on the defensive end where Rondo will really shine because of his perimeter defense. I'm not sure if Rondo will suit up tonight, but the Mavs can certainly afford to ease him into the rotation after a few training sessions because they've won nine of their 12 to improve to 19-8 overall.

In ATS trends, the Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600, while the Mavs are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games and 0-4 ATS in their last four against a team with a winning record.

Head to head, the Spurs are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings overall and the Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Dallas.

Duncan, Parker, Leonard and Ginobili are all out for the Spurs tonight which will really test their depth tonight and I just don't think they have enough firepower to stay with the Mavs, so I'm reluctantly taking the new-look Mavs at home to win by a big margin.

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