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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns - 12/31/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Phoenix Suns (18-15) at Oklahoma City Thunder (15-17)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, December 31, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)

The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 -- Over/Under: 213 See the Latest Odds


The Oklahoma City Thunder hope to have Kevin Durant back when they host the Phoenix Suns tonight.

The Phoenix Suns were absolutely flying with six straight wins, but they hit a speed bump last night when they lost to the Pelicans by 110-106. Goran Dragic led the way with 22 points on 10 of 17 shooting, Eric Bledsoe added 21 points while Gerald Green added 17, but it just wasn't enough because the Suns' allowed the Pelicans to shoot a healthy 51.9 percent from the field and dominate the boards by 49-38. The Suns didn't play bad at all, but the bottom line is that they didn't have anyone to match up with the Pelicans' Davis, but then again, who does? With the loss, Phoenix drops to 18-15 overall and 11-8 on the road.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns - 12/31/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been making up for lost time with 10 wins in their last 14 outings, but they are actually coming into this game fresh off a 112-107 loss at Dallas. With the Mavericks playing with a true center, Serge Ibaka took advantage and poured in a season-high 26 points while Reggie Jackson added 21 points off the bench, but the Thunder couldn't manage to hold onto a big lead and fell victim to another Mavs comeback. Russell Westbrook stuffed the stat sheet with 18 points, nine rebounds, nine assists and five steals but shot just 6 of 23 from the field which really hurt the Thunder come crunch time. Kevin Durant missed his sixth straight game with an ankle sprain but is listed as probable for tonight's game against the Suns.

In ATS trends, the Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a losing record and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, while the Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Head to head, the Suns are just 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Oklahoma City.

Assuming that the Thunder have Durant back in the lineup, I don't see how this game will stay under the total of 213 points. I thought about taking the Thunder to win and cover at home, but I'm more confident that this will be a shootout.

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