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Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat - 1/16/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat (17-22) at Sacramento Kings (16-22)

NBA Basketball: Friday, January 16, 2015 at 10:00 pm (Sleep Train Arena)

The Line: Sacramento Kings -3 -- Over/Under: 191 See the Latest Odds


The Sacramento Kings host the Miami Heat in an interconference matchup on Friday night.

The Miami Heat are 17-22 on the year but in the weaker Eastern Conference that’s good enough for the seventh playoff spot if the season ended today.  Miami has performed respectably on the road with a 10-10 mark, with two of those wins coming on the current five game road trip that concludes tonight.  The status of Dwyane Wade is uncertain for this contest, with the veteran guard having missed the last game and played just 15 minutes in the game prior.  Making up for Wade’s 22.1 points, 5.6 assists and four rebounds could be challenging for a Heat team that scores just 93.5 points per game to rank 28th in the league.   Miami will expect a big night from big man Chris Bosh who enters this game with 21.3 points and 7.7 rebounds per game on the year.  Luol Deng will also look to step up following a lackluster five game stretch in which Deng has averaged just ten points per game.  The Heat defense allows just 96.7 points per game to rank sixth in the league, but part of that average is the result of playing some weak competition in the East.

Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat - 1/16/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Sacramento Kings are back to their familiar rebuilding story as they sit at 16-22 on the year following a hot start early.  Unlike the Heat, 22 losses relegates the Kings to 12th place in the West with a serious uphill climb for postseason relevance.  Part of the Kings’ struggles this season have resulted from the absence of star DeMarcus Cousins, but Cousins has been healthy of late and dominating down low as we’re accustomed to seeing.  Cousins is averaging 26.2 points, 14.4 rebounds, and 5.5 assists over his last five games, a stretch where the team went 2-3 with an OT loss in Dallas.  Unfortunately Rudy Gay may not be available tonight for Sacramento, after sustaining a knee injury in the last outing against the Mavs.  Darren Collison will try to pick up the scoring burden, but most likely the Kings will need Derrick Williams or Ray McCallum to provide a punch off the bench.  The Kings struggle defensively allowing 103.8 points per game to rank 26th in the league.

The Kings are a bargain as a three point home favorite and I will ride them with decent confidence.

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