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Suns at Heat - 3/2/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Phoenix Suns (31-29) at Miami Heat (25-33)

NBA Basketball: Monday, March 2, 2015 at 7:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Phoenix Suns and Miami Heat play Monday night at the AmericanAirlines Arena.

The Phoenix Suns have split their last four games and begin a four-game road trip. On the season, the Suns are averaging 105.8 points on 45.9 percent shooting and are allowing 105.1 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Eric Bledsoe is averaging 17.2 points and six assists while Markieff Morris is averaging 15.1 points and 5.9 rebounds. Gerald Green is shooting 41.2 percent from the field and Marcus Morris is grabbing four rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are allowing just 42.7 percent shooting in their last five games but have allowed 100-plus points in nine of their last 12 games. The Suns have lost 10 of their last 11 games when allowing 100 or more points, and they’re 14-16 SU this season on the road. Brandon Knight is questionable with a hip injury.

Suns at Heat - 3/2/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Miami Heat look for a win after splitting their last eight games. On the season, the Heat are averaging 93.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting and are allowing 96.7 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Dwyane Wade is averaging 20.7 points and 5.2 assists while Luol Deng is averaging 14.6 points and five rebounds. Henry Walker is grabbing three rebounds and Mario Chalmers is dishing 4.2 assists. The Miami Heat are allowing 45.3 percent shooting from the field and 37.4 percent shooting from deep in their last five games. The Heat have to improve defensively considering they’ve lost 20 of their last 21 games when allowing 100-plus points. The Heat are just 10-17 SU on their home court. Chris Andersen and Goran Dragic are questionable with injuries.

The Suns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Monday games. The Heat are 5-15-3 ATS in their last 23 home games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. The Suns are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Miami and 7-19 ATS in the last 26 meetings overall.

With Dragic expected to play and given that he probably wants to stick it to his former team, I'm siding with the home team here and laying the bucket. 

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