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Heat vs. Nuggets - 3/20/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets (26-42) at Miami Heat (31-36)

NBA Basketball: Friday, March 20, 2015 at 7:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat square off Friday night at the AmericanAirlines Arena.

The Denver Nuggets look for a win after splitting their last eight games. On the season, the Nuggets are averaging 100.2 points on 43 percent shooting and are allowing 103.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Ty Lawson is averaging 15.9 points and 9.7 assists while Wilson Chandler is averaging 13.7 points and 5.9 rebounds. Kenneth Faried is grabbing 8.9 rebounds and J.J. Hickson is shooting 47.1 percent from the field. The Denver Nuggets are coming off a Thursday loss to the Rockets in which they turned the ball over 15 times and gave up 12 threes. The Nuggets have allowed 100-plus points in six of their last eight games. The Nuggets have lost nine of their last 12 road games.

Heat vs. Nuggets - 3/20/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Miami Heat look to stay hot after winning six of their last nine games. On the season, the Heat are averaging 94.9 points on 45.8 percent shooting and are allowing 97.1 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Dwyane Wade is averaging 21.8 points and 5.2 assists while Goran Dragic is averaging 17 points and 5.8 assists. Luol Deng is shooting 48.6 percent from the field and Hassan Whiteside is grabbing 9.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 48.2 percent from the field in their last five games and have won nine of their last 10 when scoring 100-plus points. Despite being 16-18 SU on their home court, the Heat have won six of their last seven home games.

The Nuggets are 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 Friday games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings overall.

The Heat are motivated to get one of those last playoff spots and are playing some of their best ball recently. I like a rested Miami team and the chalk against a below average Denver team that just played yesterday. 

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