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San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Clippers - 4/30/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Los Angeles Clippers (58-29) at San Antonio Spurs (58-29)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, April 30, 2015 at 9:30 pm (AT&T Center)

The Line: San Antonio Spurs -5.5 -- Over/Under: 205.5 See the Latest Odds


The San Antonio Spurs look to close out the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 6 tonight.

Every playoff game is important, but the Clippers will be absolutely kicking themselves after falling to the Spurs by 111-107 in Game 5. Chris Paul had a nice game of 19 points and 10 assists while DeAndre Jordan endured some free trips to the free-throw line to finish with 21 points and 14 rebounds, but Blake Griffin finished with the stat line of the game, scoring 30 points, 14 rebounds with seven assists. I really don't like to point the finger at any single player but with the game all tied up going into the fourth quarter, Griffin missed eight of nine shots, turned the ball over cheaply and failed to contain the Spurs' Boris Diaw. Of course, coach Rivers could have done a better job of limiting Griffin's touches down the stretch but with the team shooting just 1 of 14 from the three-point line, the ball just found its way inside more and it didn't pay off.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Clippers - 4/30/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


As for the Spurs, Tim Duncan continued to turn back the clock with 21 points, 11 rebounds and four steals while leading the team in minutes while Kawhi Leonard finished with 18 points on five of 16 shooting. Patty Mills continued his red-hot form, making all four three-pointers en route to 13 points in just 15 minutes off the bench but plenty of praise also goes to Boris Diaw who scored just 10 points but came up big in the clutch. Tony Parker has recently admitted that he hasn't been completely healthy all season, but he did manage to chip in with 13 points and will continue to play heavy minutes despite Mills' production off the bench.

In ATS trends, the Clippers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, while the Spurs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Head to head, the Over is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings and 14-5-2 ATS in the last 21 meetings in San Antonio.

Looking at the trends listed above, a play on the score to go over might be a smart one, but I'm actually expecting the Spurs to close the deal and finish the Clippers in a hard-fought win tonight.

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