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Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets - 11/28/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets (6-8) at Dallas Mavericks (9-7)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, November 28, 2015 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks -8.5 -- Over/Under: 209.5 See the Latest Odds


The Denver Nuggets travel to the American Airlines Center to battle the Dallas Mavericks tonight.

The Nuggets will be eager to snap a season-worst five-game losing streak tonight after falling to the Spurs by 91-80 last night. Danilo Gallinari led hte way with 16 points and 10 rebounds while Will Barton and Jameer Nelson added 12 points each, but the Nuggets were outplayed by a Spurs team who rested key players in Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili. Emmanuel Mudiay was particularly poor, shooing just three of 14 from the field to finish with nine points and he has shot just 12 of 43 in his last three outings. Denver is now 6-10 on the season and 3-6 at home.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets - 11/28/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Mavericks return home from a winless three-game road trip capped by an 88-83 loss against the Spurs on Wednesday. Wesley Matthews led the scoring with 15 points, Dirk Nowitzki added 13 points while Devin Harris had 11 off the bench, but in a tight contest, the Mavs just had no answer for the combination of Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker who came up big late in the game to steal the game. With the loss, Dallas fell to 9-7 on the season and 5-5 on the road.

In ATS trends, the Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a home winning record above .600, while the Mavs are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the Nuggets are 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Dallas and the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall.

It's definitely disappointing to see the Mavs stumble with three straight losses following their six-game win streak, but I think they're going to be too good at home against a Nuggets team coming off a fifth straight loss.

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