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Mavericks at Heat - 1/1/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dallas Mavericks (19-13) at Miami Heat (18-13)

NBA Basketball: Friday, January 1, 2016 at 7:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -3.5 -- Over/Under: 198 See the Latest Odds


The Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat play New Year’s Day at the American Airlines Arena.

The Dallas Mavericks look to remain hot after winning five of their last six games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 102.2 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 100.8 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 17.1 points and 6.9 rebounds while Wesley Matthews is averaging 12.9 points and 1.7 assists. Zaza Pachulia is grabbing 10.5 rebounds and J.J. Barea is dishing 4.3 assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free throw line. The Mavs are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are forcing 13.9 turnovers per game. The Dallas Mavericks have won four of their last six road games. Deron Williams is questionable with a hamstring injury.

Mavericks at Heat - 1/1/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Miami Heat have lost three straight games just once this season. The Miami Heat are averaging 97 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 95.5 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Dwyane Wade is averaging 18.9 points and 4.5 assists while Chris Bosh is averaging 18.5 points and 8.1 rebounds. Hassan Whiteside is grabbing 11 rebounds and Goran Dragic is dishing 5.2 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Heat are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are forcing 12.6 turnovers per game. The Miami Heat have split their last 10 home games. Justise Winslow is questionable with an ankle injury.

The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southeast and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Southwest. The Mavericks are 16-4-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Miami.

The Heat know they need this win to stop the bleeding in an improved East. The Mavs are playing well but aren't as deep as the Heat and have lost seven of their last eight games against Miami. I'll take the reasonable number and the home team.

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