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Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks - 2/26/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets (23-35) at Dallas Mavericks (30-28)

NBA Basketball: Friday, February 26, 2016 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks -5 -- Over/Under: 208.5 See the Latest Odds


The Denver Nuggets invade the American Airlines Center to battle the Dallas Mavericks tonight.

The Nuggets were able to snap a three-game skid on Wednesday with a hard-fought 87-81 win over the red-hot Clippers. Kenneth Faried led the team in scoring with 21 points in just 23 minutes, Gary Harris added 17 points while Danilo Gallinari had 16, but this win was all about defense and hustle plays as the Nuggets controlled the game despite shooting just 37.8 percent from the field. It wasn't the prettiest of wins but the Nuggets were impressive given that this was the second night of a back-to-back set.

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks  - 2/26/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Mavericks have lost six of their last eight games and were disappointing in Wednesday's 116-103 home loss to the Thunder. Dirk Nowitzki had a massive game of 33 points on 10 of 16 shooting, Wesley Matthews added 15 points while Deron Williams had 14 poitns and six assists but it wasn't enough to keep up with the Thunder who led by as many as 22 points in the fourth quarter before taking their foot off the gas in the final minutes. With the loss, Dallas falls to 30-28 on the season which has them in sixth place in the crowded Western Conference.

In ATS trends, the Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, while the Mavs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team below .400 and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Head to head, the Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Dallas.

With the playoffs just around the corner, it's these types of games that the Mavs should be winning to climb up the rankings but they've been anything but consistent, so I'm leaning towards the Nuggets with the points in a potential upset.

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