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San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves - 3/8/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Antonio Spurs (53-9) at Minnesota Timberwolves (20-43)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, March 8, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Target Center)

The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +11 -- Over/Under: 207 See the Latest Odds


The San Antonio Spurs invade the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.

The Spurs have been rolling through opponents on a nightly basis, but will suddenly have to dust themselves off after falling at Indiana by 99-91 last night. LaMarcus Aldridge and Kawhi Leonard led the team with 23 points each while Patty Mills provided the spark off the bench with 17 points in 22 minutes, but the Spurs were always running uphill after falling behind by 25-13 after the first quarter as the shots just weren't falling in early on. In fact, the Spurs finished with just 35.4 percent shooting from the field and they connected on just four of 28 three-point attempts which you just don't see from a Spurs team who is usually deadly from the perimeter. Despite the loss, San Antonio are still in sole possession of the second spot in the West.

San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves - 3/8/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have lost four of their last five games and were beaten by the Hornets in a 108-103 defeat last night. Karl-Anthony Towns led the way with 28 points and 14 rebounds, Andrew Wiggins added 25 points while Zach LaVine had 19, but after a see-saw battle in the first half, it was the Hornets who struck first in the second half thanks to Kemba Walker who scored 21 of his 24 points in a 35-26 third quarter dominated by the Hornets. With the loss, Minnesota drops to 20-44 on the season and 9-23 on the road.

In ATS trends, the Spurs are 28-13 ATS in their last 41 games against a team with a losing record and 1-5 ATS in their last six games playing on zero days rest, while the Wolves are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Head to head, the Spurs are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings overall and the over is 5-1 in the last six as well.

The Spurs will definitely bounce back from last night's loss but they've been poor in covering the spread on the second night of a back-to-back set, so I'm reluctantly taking the Wolves with the points at home.

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