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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks - 4/25/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dallas Mavericks (43-43) at Oklahoma City Thunder (58-28)

NBA Basketball: Monday, April 25, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)

The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -14 -- Over/Under: 205 See the Latest Odds


The Dallas Mavericks look to stave off elimination tonight when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5 tonight.

The Mavericks needed to bounce back from their 29-point loss in Game 3, but they just couldn't hang with the Thunder in a 119-108 loss in Game 4. Dirk Nowitzki had a great game of 27 points on 12 of 21 shooting while Raymond Felton and Wesley Matthews added 19 points each as the Mavs shot a healthy 51.8 percent from the field, but it still wasn't enough to get past the Thunder as they fell behind by double digits early which had them running uphill for the entire match. Dallas lost the battle of the boards by 42-33 and could only get to the free-throw line 17 times compared to the Thunder who made 34 trips to the line which was the difference in an otherwise close contest.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks - 4/25/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Thunder will be satisfied with their win on Saturday because it means that they are now just one win away from advancing to the second round. Russell Westbrook steered the offense with 25 points and 15 assists while Kevin Durant added 19 points before getting ejected late in the game, but the best scorer for the Thunder was actually Enes Kanter who stepped up and scored a team-high 28 points on 12 of 13 shooting in just 26 mintes off the bench. Durant was expected to be suspended for Game 5 after he was ejected, but he only received a fine from the NBA which is great news for the Thunder who will look to finish the job tonight.

In ATS trends, the Mavs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team above .600, while the Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a win of more than 10 points.

Head to head, the Mavs are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Oklahoma City.

The Mavs were more than competitive for most of Game 4 and the result may have been a little different had they not fallen into an early double-digit deficit, but I expect the Thunder to roll in Game 5 and finish the deal in front of that raucus home crowd tonight.

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