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San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 4/30/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder (59-28) at San Antonio Spurs (71-15)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, April 30, 2016 at 8:30 pm (AT&T Center)

The Line: San Antonio Spurs -6 -- Over/Under: 200.5 See the Latest Odds


The Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs duke it out in Game 1 tonight at the AT&T Center.

The Thunder made light work of the Mavericks in the first round, crushing them by 4-1 in the series with each win coming by an average of 23 points. Russell Westbrook steered the offense with averages of 26 points, 7.2 rebounds and 11.2 assists per game while Kevin Durant averaged 26 points, 6.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game for the series which is great news for the Thunder who will definitely need them two to be at their best in the second round. However, you really don't see them advancing past this round unless other players step up and contribute and I'm looking at players like Enes Kanter who averaged 15.2 points and Serge Ibaka who had a quiet but efficient first round with averages of 12.6 points per game on 64.1 percent shooting from the field.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 4/30/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Spurs swept the shorthanded Grizzlies in the first round without breaking a sweat, winning each game by an average of 22 points. Kawhi Leonard dominated both sides of the floor with averages of 21.5 points, 2.8 blocks and 2.8 steals per game while LaMarcus Aldridge played within himself and finished with averages of 14.5 points and 8.0 rebounds per game. However, it is difficult to gauge their progress from that series as the Grizzlies fought hard but never stood a chance against the Spurs. Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker usually play significant roles in the playoffs, but none of those three played anywhere near their usual minutes as the series was never in doubt.

In ATS trends, the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a home record above .600 and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games overall, whle the Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Semfinals games but just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.

Head to head, the Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings overall but the home team is 17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings overall.

This is going to be a cracker of a series with both teams in strong form, so while I have this series going to at least six or maybe seven games, I like the Spurs to kick off the series with a solid win at home where they were almost unbeatable all season.

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