Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers - 5/1/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Portland Trail Blazers (48-40) at Golden State Warriors (77-10)
NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 1, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Oracle Arena)
The Line: Golden State Warriors -8.5 -- Over/Under: 209.5 See the Latest Odds
The Portland Trailblazers and the Golden State Warriors collide in Game 1 tonight at the Oracle Arena.
The Trailblazers were always major underdogs to advance past the first round of the playoffs, but they've been punching above their weight all season so we shouldn't be surprised they were good enough to come back from a 2-0 series deficit to soar past the shorthanded Clippers. Damian Lillard led from the front with averages of 22.0 points and 5.2 assists per game for the series, CJ McCollum did a great job of supporting Lillard with averages of 19.7 points and 3.3 assists, while Maurice Harkless averaged 12.7 points per game as the Blazers took full advantage of a Clippers team who lost both Chris Paul and Blake Griffin to season ending injuries late in the series.
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Meanwhile, the Warriors know a little about injuries themselves as they lost their leader in Stephen Curry to a knee sprain which will keep him out for at least the first two games of this series. In round one, the Warriors didn't seem to miss their MVP at all as the whole team lifted as a unit in his absence. Klay Thompson shouldered more of the offense and led scoring with averages of 23.4 points and 3.4 assists per game, Draymond Green averaged 13.2 points, 9.6 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game while Shaun Livingston has been stepping in with Curry down and he's done a great job with averages of 13.2 points and 4.8 assists per game.
In ATS trends, the Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last five Conference Semifinals games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a win, while the Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Head to head, the Blazers are 7-20 ATS in the last 27 meetings overall and 7-21 ATS in the last 28 meetings in Golden State.
The Warriors owned the Blazers in the regular season series by 3-1, but the Blazers will still have plenty of belief as they actually beat the Warriors by 137-105 back on Feb. 19. If Curry were fit and available, I'd have the Warriors to win this series in a sweep but in his absence I think the Blazers can pinch a game, just not at the Oracle Arena...