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Toronto Raptors vs. Indiana Pacers - 5/1/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indiana Pacers (48-40) at Toronto Raptors (59-29)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 1, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Air Canada Centre)

The Line: Toronto Raptors -5.5 -- Over/Under: 189.5 See the Latest Odds


The Indiana Pacers and the Toronto Raptors do battle in Game 7 tonight at the Air Canada Center.

The Raptors will be disappointed with their effort after failing to clinch the series in Game 6 on Friday. DeMarre Carroll and Cory Joseph led the scoring with 15 points each while Jonas Valanciunas added 14 points, but the Raptors needed so much more from their starting backcourt duo of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan who combined for just 18 points on seven of 27 shooting from the field. DeRozan is now shooting just 32.1 percent from the field for the series while Lowry is shooting just 31.1 percent from the field, so at least one of these two players needs to step up tonight or the Raptors will find themselves ruing a lost season which started with so much promise.

Toronto Raptors vs. Indiana Pacers - 5/1/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Pacers needed a win in Game 6 to stay alive and they did back thanks to 21 points, 11 rebounds and six assists from Paul George, 15 points and nine rebounds from Myles Turner and 14 points from Monta Ellis. However, in a tightly contested game it was actually the Pacers' defense in the second half which really shone as they outscored the Raptors by 61-39 to pull away with the blowout win. The Pacers are now one win away from becoming the sixth team with the No. 7 seed to upset a No.2 seed since 1984.

In ATS trends, the Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight Conference Quarterfinals games, while the Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.

Head to head, the Pacers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings overall and 9-23 ATS in the last 32 meetings in Toronto.

The Raptors will still be fully confident that they can seal the deal with a win at home in Game 7 tonight, but the All-Star duo of Lowry and DeRozan continues to struggle to score so I'm actually going for the upset now. The Raptors may still win and advance to the second round, but I have the Pacers sticking around and getting the cover if not the outright win.

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