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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/22/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (82-12) at Oklahoma City Thunder (64-31)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 22, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)

The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 -- Over/Under: 220 See the Latest Odds


The Golden State Warriors and the Oklahoma City Thunder collide in Game 3 at the Chesapeake Energy Arena on Sunday night.

The Warriors will be breathing a sigh of relief after blowing past the the Thunder by 118-91 in Game 2 to level the series. Stephen Curry led the way with 17 points in the third quarter to finish with a team-high 28 points on nine of 15 shooting, Andre Igoudala provided the spark off the bench with 14 points while Klay Thompson added 15 points as the Warriors broke away from the Thunder early in the second half to regain momentum in this series and remain undefeated when playing after a loss this season. Andrew Bogut was a chance to miss Game 2 but did play 16 minutes while Festus Ezeli and Marreese Speights chipped in with 12 and 13 points respectively off the bench.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/22/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


As for the Thunder, Kevin Durant had a solid game of 29 points on 11 of 18 shooting but he had little support from his teammates as no one finished in double figures outside of Russell Westbrook's 16 points and 12 assists. Steven Adams scored just nine points after scoring 16 points in Game 1, while Serge Ibaka connected on just one of six from the field to finish with three points for the game. The Thunder have been one of the best rebounding teams all season but they were outrebounded by the Warriors by 45-36 in Game 2 and they kept shooting themselves in the foot with unforced turnovers which allowed the Warriors to get loose and pull away from a tight contest in the third quarter, so those will be the two key points of emphasis for the Thunder.

In ATS trends, the Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall, while the Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

Head to head, the Thunder are 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight meetings overall and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Golden State.

The Warriors will be feeling confident after squaring up the series but the Thunder achieved their goal by getting the split on the road. The momentum is clearly with the Warriors after such a one-sided victory, but I expect the Thunder to bounce back after this lengthy layoff and come out with the narrow win in a high scoring affair. Take OKC with the points in what should be a close one.


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