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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/24/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (82-13) at Oklahoma City Thunder (65-31)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, May 24, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)

The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 -- Over/Under: 221.5 See the Latest Odds


The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Golden State Warriors do battle in Game 4 at the Oracle Arena on Tuesday.

The Thunder were able to go ahead 2-1 in the series on the back of a dominant 133-105 blowout win over the Warriors in Game 3. Kevin Durant led the scoring with 33 points on an efficient 10 of 15 shooting while Russell Westbrook poured in 30 points with eight rebounds and 12 assists as the Thunder put together one of their best performances of the season to deal the Warriors one of their biggest losses of the season. Serge Ibaka chipped in with 14 points while Andre Roberson and Dion Waiters added 13 points each as the Thunder got hot early and never relented, shooting 50 percent from the field and 33 of 37 from the free-throw line. 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/24/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


As for the Warriors, Stephen Curry led the scoring with 24 points on seven of 17 shooting while Klay Thompson added 18 points but no other Warriors player finished in double figures as the Warriors shot just 41.3 percent from the field and 10 of 33 from the 3-point line. Draymond Green was particularly disappointing for the Warriors as he made just one of nine shot attempts to finish with six points and a plus-minus of -43, and to make matters worse, he was fined $25,000 for kicking Steven Adams in the groin. Green was originally in danger of being suspended for Game 4, but the NBA likely ruled that he didn't intend to kick Adams which saved him from suspension.

In ATS trends, the Warriors are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a loss, while the Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Head to head, the Warriors are 0-4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Oklahoma City and the home team is 9-1-1 ATS int he last 11 meetings overall.

With such heavy stakes on the line, you can expect a much better performance from the Warriors in this one, but I'm sticking with the Thunder at home as they seem to be surging at the right time of the season. I had this series tied at 2-2 after four games, but the Thunder are such a hard team to beat at home when they play with the urgency and physicality they showed in Game 3.

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