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Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat - 10/1/17 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat (0-0) vs. Atlanta Hawks (0-0)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 6:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -4.5 -- Over/Under: 204 See the Latest Odds


The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat meet Sunday in NBA preseason action at the AmericanAirlines Arena.   

The Atlanta Hawks enter this season in full rebuild mode, a lot of new faces and lowered expectations. After moving some guys in the middle of last year, the Hawks also said goodbye to Paul Millsap and Dwight Howard. The Hawks will now have the task of building around 24-year-old point guard Dennis Schroder, who really started to come into his own last season. This preseason is all about finding guys who can play, so Atlanta will give rookie John Collins, newly picked up point guard Quinn Cook and former Oregon shooting guard Tyler Dorsey a lot of minutes. The Atlanta Hawks need to find enough quality players to figure out a consistent rotation that can lead them into the future, as the goals aren’t nearly the same as they were a few seasons ago. There are 12 players on this Atlanta Hawks roster who are under 28 years old, so finding some prospects who can contribute will be a success this preseason. 

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Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat - 10/1/17 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Miami Heat are out to prove that last years second half when they finished 30-11 wasn’t a fluke. The Heat will have that chance with the entire roster returning besides Willie Reed and Luke Babbitt, guys who weren’t key players to begin with. A backcourt of Goran Dragic and Dion Waiters really started to shine the later the season got and Hassan Whiteside has legit all-star potential in the Eastern Conference. Kelly Olynyk was the key signing for the Heat this offseason, and rookie Bam Adebayo has been turning heads ever since the summer league when he put up impressive numbers. As for guys to watch who likely won’t make the NBA roster right away are Matt Williams, who is a solid three-point shooter and A.J. Hammons, who can be an intriguing player if he can stay in shape. The Miami Heat are that interesting team in the East this season that can make some noise if they bring the same high energy every night regardless of the opponent.

The Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games and the under is 12-4-1 in Hawks last 17 road games. The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games and 29-11-1 ATS in their last 41 games overall. The Hawks are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami, 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Miami.

The Hawks have a lot of questions to answer with this new roster before I can back them, even in a preseason game. Meanwhile, the Heat return pretty much the entire team that finished the second half with a 30-11 record and is a confident bunch that is eager to prove itself that it wasn't a fluke. Chemistry matters in games like this. At home, this is a game Miami should be able to open up and get the victory / cover. 

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