Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks - 1/27/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks - 1/27/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (16-33) at Denver Nuggets (25-23)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, January 27, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Pepsi Center)

The Line: Denver Nuggets -7.5 -- Over/Under: 208 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets meet Saturday in NBA action at the Pepsi Center.

The Dallas Mavericks need a victory here after losing five of their last six games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 102.4 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 104.1 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Harrison Barnes is averaging 18.3 points and 6.8 rebounds while Dennis Smith Jr. is averaging 14.7 points and 4.6 assists. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and Dirk Nowitzki is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have split their last eight road games.

The Denver Nuggets need a spark of consistency here after splitting their last eight games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 106.5 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 105.8 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Gary Harris is averaging 17.2 points and 3.2 assists while Jamal Murray is averaging 16.3 points and 2.8 assists. Nikola Jokic is the third double-digit scorer and Will Barton is dishing 4.1 assists. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won four of their last five home games.

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games. The Nuggets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The home team is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

I know the Dallas Mavericks are an old team on the end of a back to back, so usually you want to fade them in spots like this. The Denver Nuggets are also really good at home. However, the Mavericks continue to cover games on the road, hang around in games you wouldn't expect and are 13-5 ATS this season when an underdog by six to eight points. The Nuggets are also hit or miss for the most part and are only outscoring teams by one point in their last five games. Give me the free buckets.

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Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +7.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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