Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat - 1/29/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat - 1/29/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (28-21) at Dallas Mavericks (16-34)

NBA Basketball: Monday, January 29, 2018 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks +1.5 -- Over/Under: 197 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks meet Monday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center.

The Miami Heat need a victory here after splitting their last eight games. The Miami Heat are averaging 100.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 101.3 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Goran Dragic is averaging 17.1 points and 4.8 assists while Hassan Whiteside is averaging 14.2 points and 11.8 rebounds. Josh Richardson is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Johnson is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have won six of their last nine road games.

The Dallas Mavericks also could use a win here after losing six of their last seven games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 102 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 103.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Harrison Barnes is averaging 18.4 points and 6.8 rebounds while Dennis Smith Jr. is averaging 14.7 points and 4.7 assists. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and Dirk Nowitzki is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have lost five of their last seven home games.

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. The Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Southeast, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas, 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 21-8-2 ATS in the last 31 meetings.

The Miami Heat have pretty much owned the Dallas Mavericks since losing to them in the NBA Finals, as they've won eight of the last 10 meetings, which includes a 12-point win a few days before Christmas. The Mavericks have been able to compete a lot harder and have had close results the last few weeks, but they're still a very limited team at the end of the day. The Heat have been one of the better teams in the league for the last month and a half and have had consistent recent success on the road. The Heat have also covered seven of their last nine road games. I'll lay the bucket with the better team.

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Randy’s Pick Miami Heat -1.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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