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Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors - 2/3/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (41-11) at Denver Nuggets (27-25)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, February 3, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Pepsi Center)

The Line: Denver Nuggets +5 -- Over/Under: 229.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSNB, ALT

The Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets meet Saturday in NBA action at the Pepsi Center.

The Golden State Warriors look for another victory after winning 10 of their last 13 games. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.6 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 107.7 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Stephen Curry is averaging 27.7 points and 6.5 assists while Kevin Durant is averaging 25.6 points and 6.9 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 7.9 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.4 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won five of their last seven road games.

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Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors - 2/3/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets need a statement win after splitting their last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 106.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 105.9 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Gary Harris is averaging 17.4 points and 3.2 assists while Jamal Murray is averaging 16.6 points and 2.9 assists. Nikola Jokic is the third double-digit scorer and Will Barton is dishing four assists. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won five of their last seven home games.

The Warriors are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. The Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific. The Warriors are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Denver, 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

I know the Golden State Warriors are on the end of a back to back and have had issues on the road this season, but you don't get these type of numbers with this team often. Usually you're laying close to double-digit chalk. The Denver Nuggets are really good at home, but they do have trouble closing games at times and are allowing nearly 49 percent shooting in their last five games. The lack of defense is going to be the Nuggets downfall in this contest. I'll eat the reasonable number with the better team.

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