NBA 2018 All-Star Weekend: Three-Point Contest - 2/17/18 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
NBA Three-Point Contest
NBA Basketball: Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Staples Center)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The NBA All-Star break may be a vacation for the players, but the work never stops for the bettors. Saturday will feature the 2017-18 NBA Three-Point Contest at the Staples Center, and it’s a chance to make some money during the weekend. There are eight players participating in the event and the favorite opens things up with +200 odds. So no matter who you pick to win this event, you have a chance to make at least two times your money.
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Let’s waste no time, shall we?
Here’s a list of all the players participating and the two guys who I will be placing money on.
Klay Thompson - Klay Thompson is the favorite with +200 odds and for good reason. One, Thompson is second in the league in three-point percentage behind Reggie Bullock with 45.4 percent. Thompson is second in made threes with 179 behind only James Harden. Thompson also won this event back in 2016 and will be participating for the fourth time, easily the most of anyone in the field.
Eric Gordon - Eric Gordon is the defending three-point champion and is bringing in odds of +400. While that may be intriguing, nobody has won this event back-to-back years since Jason Kapono did so a decade ago. Either way, Gordon is a three-point specialist who does nothing but get shots up. Gordon is second in the league with 443 three-point attempts and is currently shooting 37.5 percent from deep this month, his second best month this season.
Devin Booker - Devin Booker is making his second three-point shootout appearance and is 28th in the league with 112 made threes despite missing a chunk of the season. Booker is one of those shooters who can get hot, which makes him an intriguing option with +550 odds. However, Booker has missed some time this month due to a hip injury, so that’s worth keeping an eye on before backing the Phoenix Suns star.
Paul George - Paul George is also making his second appearance in this event, and he’s fourth in the league with 171 made threes this season. Only Thompson, Stephen Curry and Harden have made more threes than PG13. George is also shooting 45.7 percent from deep in the month of February, which is unreal considering he’s putting up 9.2 attempts. George could be a strong value play with +700 odds.
Wayne Ellington - Wayne Ellington is making his first ever three-point shootout appearance and is currently fifth in made threes with 162. Ellington has cooled off big time recently with his long distance shooting, but his percentage on the year is still a healthy 38.9 percent. The Miami Heat are also tied with the Chicago Bulls and Boston Celtics for winning this event four times. There could be something with +700 odds.
Bradley Beal - This will be Bradley Beal’s second appearance and first since 2013-14. It’s no secret Beal is a great shooter and can get hot at a minutes notice, but his 36.6 percent is the lowest of his career by quite a large margin. Beal is also tied for 12th with Kyrie Irving and Wesley Matthews with 135 made threes. I’m not sure I see much value with Beal, even though he’s bringing in +800 odds.
Kyle Lowry - Kyle Lowry is making his third straight three-point shootout appearance and hopes to finally put together a noteworthy performance. Lowry is 10th in the league with 148 made threes and is shooting 38 percent or better from deep for the fourth time in the last five seasons. Lowry has the potential to make a run in an event like this, but he’s truly a hot and cold shooter from deep, which is why he’s valued at +850 odds.
Tobias Harris - Tobias Harris isn’t really considered a deep threat, which is probably why he’s making his first appearance in this event. However, Harris was shooting 40.9 percent from deep with the Detroit Pistons before he got traded to the Los Angeles Clippers. In four games with his new team, Harris is shooting just 26.1 percent. At least Harris should have great fan support with him being a Clipper now. Either way, you can get Harris with +1000 if you’re looking for the biggest of long shots.
Now with that out of the way, the two guys I’m backing are Thompson and Ellington. Thompson is head and shoulders the best shooter in this tournament, has won it before and has by far more experience with this being his fourth trip. Some guys need adjusting to taking a ball off the rack, as they’re used to coming around screens, getting the ball passed to them, etc. It’s why many great shooters struggle putting on a show. Thompson doesn’t have that issue. As for Ellington, he’s fifth in the league in made threes and is one of those guys who can catch fire when he sees the ball go through the hoop once. The Miami Heat have also produced the winner of this event four times, which is tied for the most in league history. That may not mean anything for this year, but it’s worth mentioning when looking for a dark horse.