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Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets - 3/6/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets (35-28) at Dallas Mavericks (19-45)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, March 6, 2018 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks +4.5 -- Over/Under: 218 See the Latest Odds

TV: ALT2, FSSW

The Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks meet Tuesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center.

The Denver Nuggets look for another victory after winning six of their last eight games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 108.7 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 107.5 points on 48 percent shooting. Gary Harris is averaging 17.9 points and three assists while Jamal Murray is averaging 16.3 points and 3.5 assists. Nikola Jokic is the third double-digit scorer and Will Barton is dishing 4.1 assists. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won four straight road games.

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets - 3/6/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Mavericks could use a win here after losing nine of their last 11 games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 102.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 105.1 points on 47 percent shooting. Harrison Barnes is averaging 18.5 points and 6.4 rebounds while Dennis Smith Jr. is averaging 15 points and 4.9 assists. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and Dirk Nowitzki is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have lost six of their last eight home games.

The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Northwest, 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games. The Nuggets are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas, the underdog is 19-9-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

The Dallas Mavericks are actually a better team than their record indicates, especially at home where they have a positive point differential of 0.2 points. However, the Mavs are in full tank mode and find ways to lose regardless of how hard they compete. The Denver Nuggets are playing some of their most consistent ball right now as they fight for playoff position, and they're shooting 51.2 percent from the field in their last five games. I'll lay the reasonable chalk with the team playing well and playing for something.

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