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Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs - 4/16/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Antonio Spurs (47-35) at Golden State Warriors (58-24)

NBA Basketball: Monday, April 16, 2018 at 10:30 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors -9.5 -- Over/Under: 206 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors meet Monday in game two of the first round of the NBA playoffs at the Oracle Arena.

The San Antonio Spurs have another chance to steal home court advantage before going home for game three of the series. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 92 points on 40 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 54.3 percent shooting. LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 14 points and two rebounds while Rudy Gay is averaging 15 points and two assists. Bryn Forbes is the third double-digit scorer and Dejounte Murray is grabbing five rebounds. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 40.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 45.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30 rebounds per game. The San Antonio Spurs have lost nine straight road games.  

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Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs - 4/16/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors look for another victory here to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 113 points on 54.3 percent shooting and allowing 107.5 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Klay Thompson is averaging 27 points and two assists while Kevin Durant is averaging 24 points and eight rebounds. Draymond Green is the third double-digit scorer and JaVale McGee is grabbing four rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 45.5 percent from beyond the arc and 68.2 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 40.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 51 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have lost four of their last six home games.

The Spurs are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Spurs are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings, the favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.

I never like to overreact in a series from one game to the next, but it was made obvious in that victory that the Spurs are extremely limited offensively and are going to have their hands full at both ends without their best player. The Golden State Warriors locked up the paint, made the Spurs take nothing but outside shots and it was a plan that led to a blowout. Even when the Spurs found a way to cut things to single digits, the lead ballooned rather quickly until the Spurs finally went away in the second half. The Spurs simply don't have the firepower to hang around for 48 minutes to make this a competitive game. I'd love to be wrong, but it's tough making a case for San Antonio, especially with its history on the road this season.

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