Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers - 4/29/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers - 4/29/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

Indiana Pacers (51-37) at Cleveland Cavaliers (53-35)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, April 29, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Quicken Loans Arena)

The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 -- Over/Under: 200 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Sunday in game seven of the first round of the NBA playoffs at the Quicken Loans Arena.

The Indiana Pacers can advance to the second round of the playoffs for the first time since 2013-14 with a victory here. The Indiana Pacers are averaging 100.5 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 93.2 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Victor Oladipo is averaging 21.5 points and six assists while Bojan Bogdanovic is averaging 14 points and four rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer and Domantas Sabonis is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 69.4 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game. The Indiana Pacers have split their last 10 road games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to reach the conference semifinals, as this franchise hasn’t lost in the first round of the playoffs since 1997-98. The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 93.2 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 100.5 points on 48.6 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 32.7 points and 7.8 assists while Kevin Love is averaging 11 points and 9.8 rebounds. Kyle Korver is grabbing 2.7 rebounds and George Hill is dishing 1.7 assists. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.6 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers have won 10 of their last 12 home games.

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The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Cavaliers are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Pacers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland, 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings and the under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Home teams usually dominate game sevens, as only 26 road teams have won out of 128 tries, and the home team has won eight of the last 10 games. The Cavs also still have the best player ever, so there's that. However, besides those two things, you can't make a strong case for the Cavaliers to win this game let alone cover a decent spread. The Indiana Pacers have blown out the Cavs in two of the six games, and the other four games have been decided by four or less points. I'm not sure what else the Pacers have to do to prove to oddmakers and betters that they're not going anywhere. The Cleveland Cavaliers can't count on anybody besides LeBron to do much of anything and if Oladipo can repeat his game six performance, it won't matter much. I'm taking the Pacers and the points and would probably sprinkle something on the ML as well.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Indiana Pacers +6

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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