Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz - 4/29/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz - 4/29/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Russ Isabella-USA TODAY Sports

Utah Jazz (48-34) at Houston Rockets (65-17)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, April 29, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Houston Rockets -11.5 -- Over/Under: 207 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Utah Jazz and Houston Rockets meet Sunday in game one of the Western Conference playoffs at the Toyota Center.

The Utah Jazz head into this playoff series after beating the Oklahoma City Thunder in six games. The Utah Jazz are averaging 105.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 101.2 points on 43 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 28.5 points and 2.7 assists while Joe Ingles is averaging 14.2 points and 3.5 rebounds. Rudy Gobert is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Favors is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Utah Jazz are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 68.6 percent from the free throw line. The Utah Jazz are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game. The Utah Jazz have split their last eight road games.

The Houston Rockets head into this playoff series after beating the Minnesota Timberwolves in five games. The Houston Rockets are averaging 110.4 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 101.6 points on 46 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 29 points and 7.4 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 19 points and 6.6 assists. Clint Capela is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Gordon is grabbing 1.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 41.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have won 12 of their last 13 home games.

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

The Jazz are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Sunday games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southwest. The Rockets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest,12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Northwest and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference. The Jazz are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Houston, 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

The Utah Jazz were rocked all four times against the Houston Rockets this season and now begin this series without their starting point guard in Ricky Rubio. Add in the rest factor and the Rockets should be decent sized favorites. However, the Rockets are just 11-18 ATS this season as double-digit favorites and didn't exactly blowout the Timberwolves in their series. A lot of those games were somewhat close and Minnesota was on the right side of the number as well. The Utah Jazz have been a double-digit underdog just twice this season and for a reason. The Jazz find ways to compete with their defense and have guys who can hit the deep ball to keep them in games. I have to side with the points here.

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Randy’s Pick Utah Jazz +11.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Free NBA Parlay Mitch's NBA Parlay for 4/13/21 NBA Pick and Prediction