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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/6/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (64-25) at New Orleans Pelicans (52-36)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 6, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Smoothie King Center)

The Line: New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 -- Over/Under: 232 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Golden State Warriors and New Orleans Pelicans meet Sunday in game four of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Smoothie King Center.

The Golden State Warriors can retake full control of this series with a victory here and improving to a 3-1 lead. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 109 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 102.5 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 27.3 points and 8.1 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 23.5 points and two assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 11.5 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.4 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have lost five of their last nine road games.

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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/6/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Pelicans look for another home victory to tie up this series at 2-2. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 113.4 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.4 points on 45 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 30.1 points and 12.9 rebounds while Jrue Holiday is averaging 23.9 points and 6.1 assists. Nikola Mirotic is the third double-digit scorer and Rajon Rondo is dishing 13.9 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game. The New Orleans Pelicans have won nine of their last 11 home games.

The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games overall. The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans and the over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

The Golden State Warriors can't possibly play as badly as they did in their game three loss, as they shot just 38 percent from the field and 29 percent from three. The New Orleans Pelicans shot 50 percent from the field, made 14 threes and won by 19 points despite turning the ball over 15 times. Things should balance out a bit in this contest, which may be bad news for the Pelicans. However, New Orleans is now 3-0 SU at home these playoffs and is winning those games by an average of 14.6 points. Anthony Davis has been able to takeover games, Rondo is adding that chippiness by pissing off Draymond every chance he gets and the role players have been hitting outside shots at home.  When the Pelicans hit their outside shots, they have the offensive firepower to hang with the Warriors. I'll take a shot with the points here.

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