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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics - 5/7/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Celtics (62-30) at Philadelphia 76ers (56-34)

NBA Basketball: Monday, May 7, 2018 at 6:00 pm (Wells Fargo Center)

The Line: Philadelphia 76ers -6.5 -- Over/Under: 204.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers meet Monday in game four of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Wells Fargo Center.

The Boston Celtics can get much needed rest before playing the Cleveland Cavaliers by completing the sweep here. The Boston Celtics are averaging 104.3 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 101.5 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Al Horford is averaging 17.9 points and 8.6 rebounds while Terry Rozier is averaging 19 points and 6.5 assists. Jaylen Brown is the third double-digit scorer and Jayson Tatum is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game. The Boston Celtics have lost six of their last seven road games.

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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics - 5/7/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia 76ers need a victory here to save their season and force a game five on Wednesday. The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 109.1 points on 43.6 percent shooting and allowing 105.4 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Joel Embiid is averaging 21.5 points and 12.8 rebounds while JJ Redick is averaging 20.1 points and 2.5 assists. Ben Simmons is the third double-digit scorer and Dario Saric is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 38.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.3 rebounds per game. The Philadelphia 76ers have lost just three home games since February.

The Celtics are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 road games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The 76ers are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia, 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

I'm not sure how the Philadelphia 76ers are going to comeback from three tough losses, especially after losing an emotional home game that looked like they had in the bag when they entered overtime with a truckload of confidence. The Celtics are proving that their experience, defense and being well coached has the edge in this series, and it's frustrating these young 76ers who haven't quite been on this stage or had to deal with these expectations before. We've been on the Celtics all three games these playoffs, and while a 76ers win wouldn't surprise me, it makes no sense to turn down free points given the way things have played out up to this point. The Boston Celtics have also covered 10 of their last 14 games when an underdog, and they've won eight of their last 14 games outright when an underdog. Give me the Boston Celtics and the free buckets.

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