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Golden State Warriors vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 5/8/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans (53-37) at Golden State Warriors (65-26)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, May 8, 2018 at 10:30 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors -12 -- Over/Under: 228 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The New Orleans Pelicans and Golden State Warriors meet Tuesday in game five of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Oracle Arena.

The New Orleans Pelicans need a victory here to save their season and force a game six on Thursday. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 110.8 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 29.6 points and 12.8 rebounds while Jrue Holiday is averaging 23.3 points and 5.8 assists. Nikola Mirotic is the third double-digit scorer and Rajon Rondo is dishing 12.9 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game. The New Orleans Pelicans have split their last 10 road games. 

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Golden State Warriors vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 5/8/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors can reach yet another western conference final with a victory here. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 110 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 101.3 points on 42.7 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 28.4 points and 8.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 23.3 points and two assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 11.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 31.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won 15 of their last 20 home games.

The Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. Western Conference and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games, 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 Tuesday games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Golden State and 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

This is a lot of points to lay with a Golden State Warriors club that's struggled to cover numbers and hasn't played to its potential consistently as of late. But it is a close out game in Oracle, and game four showed just how ugly these games can get when Golden State goes on one of its stretches. If the New Orleans Pelicans aren't hitting outside shots and Anthony Davis doesn't play out of his mind, New Orleans gets down double digits quickly. It felt like Sunday was the Pelicans only real chance to make this a series, and we see a lot of teams fold in elimination games when the series is pretty much finished. The Warriors are also a decent 18-21 ATS when a double-digit favorite this season, which is obviously still losing money, but that's a lot of covers for such big chalk. I'll take the Warriors in a blowout victory as they reach the conference finals yet again.

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