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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics Game 1 - 5/13/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Cavaliers (58-35) at Boston Celtics (63-31)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 13, 2018 at 3:30 pm (TD Garden)

The Line: Boston Celtics +1.5 -- Over/Under: 204.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics meet Sunday in game one of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the TD Garden.

Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics Series Position by Position Breakdown

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics Game 1 - 5/13/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Cavaliers haven’t played in six days and are coming off a sweep over the Toronto Raptors. The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 103.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 102 points on 47.8 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 34.3 points and nine assists while Kevin Love is averaging 14.7 points and 10.1 rebounds. Kyle Korver is the third double-digit scorer and JR Smith is dishing 1.3 assists. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers have won seven of their last 11 road games.

The Boston Celtics haven’t played since Wednesday and are coming off a five-game series over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Boston Celtics are averaging 104.1 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 102.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 18.8 points and 4.5 rebounds while Terry Rozier is averaging 18.2 points and 5.8 assists. Al Horford is the third double-digit scorer and Jaylen Brown is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game. The Boston Celtics have won eight straight home games.

The Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Finals games. The Celtics are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Finals games and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Boston, the road team is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings and the under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Boston.

Despite sweeping the Toronto Raptors, I'm still in the boat that the Cleveland Cavaliers aren't a good basketball team and only have one player you can count on night in and night out. That series had more to do with the Raptors not having the balls to show up in the postseason than it did the Cavs being some powerhouse. The Boston Celtics are banged up and the depth has taken a hit, but they continue to find ways to win with a quality defense and a coach who is making sure his guys are ready. The Celtics just dominated a 76ers squad that's more talented at both ends than the Cavs and was actually a lot of people's pick to win the East. The Celtics have a lot of bodies to throw at LeBron and force others to beat them. I'm not confident Korver, Smith, Love and others can show up four games. The Celtics are also undefeated in the playoffs at home and have covered 10 of their last 15 games when an underdog. Give me the Celtics. 

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