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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/16/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (67-26) at Houston Rockets (73-20)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, May 16, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Houston Rockets -2 -- Over/Under: 224.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets meet Wednesday in game two of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Toyota Center.

The Golden State Warriors hope to steal another road game to take a 2-0 series lead and pretty much to put this thing to bed. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 111.1 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 102 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 28.8 points and 7.5 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 23.2 points and 4.4 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 11.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.4 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won five of their last nine road games. 

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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/16/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets need a victory here in order to have any real chance of winning this series. The Houston Rockets are averaging 109.2 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 101.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 29.6 points and 7.4 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 21.9 points and 6.1 assists. Clint Capela is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Gordon is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 38.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have won 15 of their last 18 home games.

The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games, 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest and 43-21-3 ATS in their last 67 Wednesday games. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest, 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 Wednesday games and 6-18 ATS in their last 24 vs. NBA Pacific. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston, 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

I took a chance and predicted that the Houston Rockets would win this series, and while I never panic after one game, I'm not nearly as confident as I was earlier. The Rockets are back to playing ISO basketball despite having two elite ball handlers with high basketball IQs. Why it's one-on-one basketball for 48 minutes makes no sense to me, as the Warriors, a highly skilled defensive team, has an easier task when that's the case. Harden has to work way too hard and make crazy shots to the point he's gassed in the second half. And you're counting on Ariza, PJ Tucker and other guys to make shots while the Warriors are hitting you with four all stars who show up night in and night out. Credit to the oddmakers who don't seem to be budging with these lines, but the value is with the Warriors and the free bucket. I'd love to see the Rockets win, but I can't honestly put my trust in this team and lay the bucket again. 

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