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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets - 5/20/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Rockets (73-20) at Golden State Warriors (67-26)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 20, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors -7 -- Over/Under: 227 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors meet Sunday in game three of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Oracle Arena.

The Houston Rockets hope to take back homeport advantage while taking a 2-1 series lead. The Houston Rockets are averaging 110.7 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 102.1 points on 46.4 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 29.4 points and seven assists while Chris Paul is averaging 21.4 points and 6.1 assists. Eric Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and Clint Capela is grabbing 11.5 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 37.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have won eight of their last 11 road games.

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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets - 5/20/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors hope to rebound from an ugly game 2 and take a 2-1 series lead. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 100.6 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 104.1 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 29.6 points and 7.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 22 points and 4.8 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 10.8 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.4 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won eight of their last 12 home games.

The Rockets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 7-16 ATS in their last 23 Sunday games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. The over is 6-2-1 in Warriors last 9 home games and the under is 21-10 in Rockets last 31 overall.

This game really comes down to which Houston Rockets we're going to get. Are they going to be the iso team that has the ball in Harden's hands for 95 percent of the game or will they be the team from game two that shares the basketball and gets everybody involved? If it's the latter, the Rockets have a chance to be in this game until the very end, as they're a much tougher team to defend. Expect a better showing from the Warriors, who turned the ball over a ton and usually bounce back after losing a game. The Rockets are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games when an underdog of at least five points. The Warriors have failed to cover four of their last six games when a favorite of at least five points. The Warriors are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 home games as a favorite of at least seven points. I don't love this game at all, but if forced to pick, I'd take a shot with the points. If the Rockets copy their game two gameplan, this should be a back and forth contest with a lot of offense.

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