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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics - 5/21/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Celtics (65-31) at Cleveland Cavaliers (58-37)

NBA Basketball: Monday, May 21, 2018 at 8:30 pm (Quicken Loans Arena)

The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5 -- Over/Under: 206.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Monday in game four of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Quicken Loans Arena.

The Boston Celtics can retake full control of this series with a victory here to improve to a 3-1 lead. The Boston Celtics are averaging 103.3 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 101.5 points on 46 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 18.1 points and 3.8 rebounds while Jaylen Brown is averaging 14.5 points and 4.9 rebounds. Terry Rozier is the third double-digit scorer and Marcus Morris is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game. The Boston Celtics have lost eight of their last nine road games.

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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics - 5/21/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Cavaliers hope to tie up this series at 2-2 before heading back to Boston for game three. The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 102.2 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 101.6 points on 47.1 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 32.9 points and 9.4 assists while Kevin Love is averaging 15.3 points and 10.6 rebounds. Kyle Korver is the third double-digit scorer and JR Smith is dishing 1.1 assists. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.5 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.5 rebounds per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers have won 11 of their last 13 home games.

The Celtics are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games, 21-8 ATS in their last 29 vs. Eastern Conference and 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games overall. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Atlantic and 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. The Celtics are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Cleveland Cavaliers did what they had to do in game three and the role players showed up in a big way, as they couldn't miss and the Celtics couldn't buy a basket. It's natural to overreact and pretend the Cavs are good again. However, the bottom line is you can't count on the Cavs role players and the fact they all played well in game three may be a bad sign heading into game four. I still don't trust the Cavaliers and laying points with this team has put you in a massive hole. Even with one victory and cover, the Cavs are still way in the red if you've backed this team the last several months. The Celtics are extremely well coached and will make adjustments. Will it translate into a victory or cover? Who knows. What we do know is that the Cavs are burning money ATS and have been all season. I'm not laying chalk with this team. Not now. Not never. 

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