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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/24/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (68-27) at Houston Rockets (74-21)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, May 24, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Houston Rockets -1 -- Over/Under: 220 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets meet Thursday in game five of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Toyota Center.

The Golden State Warriors hope to regain control of this series with a victory before heading home for game six on Saturday. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 110.4 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 102.1 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 29.1 points and 7.4 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 24.4 points and four assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 11.4 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 83.4 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have split their last six road games.

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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/24/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets can take control of this series for the first time with a victory here and a 3-2 lead. The Houston Rockets are averaging 107.7 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 103.1 points on 46.3 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 28.8 points and 6.9 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 21.2 points and 5.8 assists. Eric Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and Clint Capela is grabbing 11.4 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 37.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have won six of their last eight home games.

The Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Finals games, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Pacific. The Warriors are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Houston and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Unlike the Eastern Conference finals, I've been all over the place in this series, as the Houston Rockets pick and choose when they want to play to the level they're capable of. The Rockets were able to win game four despite shooting just 39 percent from the field, as they played defense well, forced 16 turnovers and got Chris Paul to finally takeover in key moments. The Rockets have the ability to win this series, it's just a matter of which team is going to show up and the Warriors have lost two or more games in a row just four times all season long, most of them coming when they were missing guys. Honestly, I'm tired of trying to pick a side and being wrong in this series. The Rockets only victories in this series have come when they play defense and hold the Warriors to poor shooting percentages. So, I'm siding with the under in this spot. This is a lot of points in such a big game that the Rockets pretty much have to win if they have any hope of winning this thing.

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