Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers - Game 6 - 5/25/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Boston Celtics (66-33) at Cleveland Cavaliers (60-38)
NBA Basketball: Friday, May 25, 2018 at 8:30 pm (Quicken Loans Arena)
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -7 -- Over/Under: 201.5 See the Latest Odds
The Cleveland Cavaliers look to stave off elimination as they battle the Boston Celtics at the Quicken Loans Arena in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals.
The Boston Celtics are now just one win away from an NBA Finals berth after blowing past the Cavaliers in a 96-83 home win in Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead. Jayson Tatum looked like a veteran out there as he led the team with 24 points, seven rebounds, four assists, four steals and two blocks, Jaylen Brown added 17 points while Al Horford chipped in with 15 points and 12 rebounds. As a team, the Celtics shot just 36 percent from the field and Terry Rozier finished with just eight points on three of 15 shooting, but the Celtics were still able to make light work of the Cavaliers after storming out of the gates to lead by as many as 16 points early in the second quarter. Defensively, the Celtics were back to their best as they ran the Cavaliers off the three-point line and unlike in Games 3 and 4, they received plenty of production from their bench as Marcus Morris and Marcus Smart finished with 13 points apiece.
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Meanwhile, the Cleveland Cavaliers looked to have all of the momentum after levelling the series with two wins at home, but they could never gain the ascendancy in Game 5 after the Celtics jumped out to an early double-digit lead. LeBron James led the team with 26 points, 10 rebounds and five assists while Kevin Love added 14 points, but no other player scored more than eight points. As a team, the Cavaliers shot 41 percent from the field but they were sloppy with the ball, committing a total of 15 turnovers and they were outscored at the free-throw line by 21-12. Overall, the Cavaliers simply looked tired, especially LeBron who looked completely exhausted as he logged 39 minutes. JR Smith finished with just two points in 26 minutes of action while Kyle Korver played just 19 minutes off the bench which is something that could change going into a must-win Game 6.
Looking at the betting trends, the Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team above .600, 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games overall. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against a team with a road record above .600 and 12-39-2 ATS in their last 53 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
Head to head, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings and the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
The Cavaliers’ role players really failed to show up in Game 5 so it’s no surprise that the Celtics were able to win so easily in the end. The Celtics are now back in the drivers’ seat as they have home-court advantage and the series lead but they’ve lost six of their seven road games in these playoffs while the Cavaliers have won seven of their eight home games in these playoffs. This series has all the looks of a seven-game thriller as both teams have been solid at home so far, so I like LeBron and the Cavaliers bouncing back here, but I just don’t feel comfortable laying this many points.