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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets - 5/26/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Rockets (75-21) at Golden State Warriors (68-28)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors -10.5 -- Over/Under: 213.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors meet Saturday in game six of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Oracle Arena.

The Houston Rockets can advance to the NBA Finals for the first time since the 1994-95 season with a victory here. The Houston Rockets are averaging 107.1 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 102.5 points on 46.2 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 28.1 points and 6.7 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 21.1 points and 5.8 assists. Eric Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and Clint Capela is grabbing 11.5 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.6 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 37.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have won four of their last five road games.

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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets - 5/26/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors need a victory here in order to save their season and force a game seven on Monday. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 109.3 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 101.8 points on 43 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 29.1 points and 7.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 24.1 points and 4.2 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 11.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 83.7 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.4 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won 17 of their last 24 home games.

The Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games and 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings..

It's tough to pick this game without knowing the health of Chris Paul. If it were up to me, I'd rest him and try to get him close to completely healthy as possible for game seven. With that said, I can't bring myself to leave double-digit points on the table. The Rockets have figured out something defensively in these last two games and have managed to win without even shooting the ball well. The Rockets missed a billion threes in game five and still won. The Warriors have also failed to cover seven of their last nine games as a double-digit favorite. Rockets haven't been a double-digit underdog since December 1 of 2016. I'm not high on this spot mainly due to the concerns with CP3, but if forced to pick, I'm siding with the points.

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