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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics - Game 7 - 5/27/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Cavaliers (61-38) at Boston Celtics (66-34)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 27, 2018 at 8:30 pm (TD Garden)

The Line: Boston Celtics -2.5 -- Over/Under: 201.5 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Boston Celtics duke it out in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals at the TD Garden on Sunday night.

The Cleveland Cavaliers were able to stave off elimination and force the series into a decider with a hard-fought 109-99 win over the Celtics in Game 6 on Friday. LeBron James led the way with a monster game of 46 points to go with 11 rebounds and nine assists, George Hill added a series-high 20 points while Jeff Green chipped in with 14 points off the bench. As a team, the Cavaliers shot 47 percent from the field and nine of 23 from the three-point line but more than ever, the Cavaliers relied heavily on James who put the team on his back. Kevin Love has been the team’s second best scorer but left the game after just five minutes thanks to a head clash with the Celtics’ Jayson Tatum and he has officially been ruled out for Sunday with concussion.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics - Game 7 - 5/27/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics missed on a chance to seal the deal in six games but they’re returning back home where they’ve yet to lose in these playoffs. Terry Rozier had struggled on the road in this series but he was on fire for this game as he drained six treys en route to 28 points with seven assists, Jaylen Brown added 27 points on 11 of 18 shooting while Jayson Tatum shook off some early struggles to chip in with 15 points. As a team, the Celtics shot a healthy 51 percent from the field and 12 of 28 from the three-point line but they were always fighting an uphill battle after getting outscored by the Cavaliers in the second quarter by 34-18. The Celtics would trail by as many as 16 points before they went on a late run to cut the deficit to seven points, but they made just 11 of 20 free throw attempts and got next to nothing out of Al Horford who scored just six points in 37 minutes of action.

Looking at the betting trends, the Cavaliers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against a team above .600, 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS win. Meanwhile, the Celtics are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games against a team with a winning record and 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games overall.

Head to head, the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Boston and the Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Boston.

The Cavaliers were dealt a cruel blow as they lost Love for the series decider after he collided with Tatum in Game 6 but they were able to keep their season alive thanks to a monster game from LeBron. No other Cavaliers player really stepped up other than Hill who woke up with 20 points and that just won’t be enough against the Celtics who are so tough to beat in their own building. The Celtics are still undefeated at home in these playoffs, they have already beaten the Cavaliers three times by an average of 17 points in this series and the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings. I'm sticking with the Celtics to get the win and book their ticket to the NBA Finals.

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