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Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - 5/31/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors

NBA Basketball: Thursday, May 31, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors -12 -- Over/Under: 215.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors meet Thursday in game one of the 2018 NBA Finals at the Oracle Arena. 

The Cleveland Cavaliers haven’t played since Sunday and are coming off a seven-game series with the Boston Celtics. The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 101.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 99.9 points on 45.6 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 34 points and 8.8 assists while Kevin Love is averaging 13.9 points and 10 rebounds. Kyle Korver is grabbing 2.5 rebounds and George Hill is dishing 2.2 assists. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.2 rebounds per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers have split their last eight road games.

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Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - 5/31/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors haven’t played since Monday and are coming off a seven-game series with the Houston Rockets. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 109.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 100.3 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 29 points and 7.1 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 24.8 points and 4.9 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 11.6 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won eight of their last nine home games.

The Cavaliers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Golden State, 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

NBA Finals Position-By-Position Series Breakdown

The Golden State Warriors are head and shoulders the better team in this series, and I'm honestly shocked the Cleveland Cavaliers are even in the finals. Those who have been around all year know nobody has bagged on the Cavs this season more than me, as this is one of the worst group of players LeBron has had to carrry in his career. It doesn't help that Kevin Love has a concussion and who knows how those things play out. The Warriors should have their way in this series, and LeBron will be lucky to steal a game. It's mismatches everywhere. However, that doesn't mean I'm just throwing out double digit points. I've never been that guy who just eats huge chalk, even if I end up losing in the process. I feel dirty laying big chalk. The Warriors have failed to cover eight of their last 13 games when a double-digit favorite. The Cavs have covered four of their last eight games when a double-digit underdog, and two of those covers were outright victories. Lopsided finals or not, I can't bring myself to eat huge numbers. 

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