Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets - 10/20/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets - 10/20/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Charlotte Hornets (1-1) at Miami Heat (1-1)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 8:00 pm (American Airlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -4 -- Over/Under: 218 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

The Charlotte Hornets invade the American Airlines Arena to battle the Miami Heat on Saturday night.

The Charlotte Hornets will be gunning for their second win in as many nights after cruising past the Magic last night’s 120-88 win at Orlando. Kemba Walker led from the front with 26 points and five assists in just 27 minutes of action while Nicolas Batum and Miles Bridges each scored 15 points. As a team, the Hornets shot 46 percent from the field and 17 of 38 from the three-point line as they made it look easy, holding the Magic to just 10 points in the first quarter to lead by 51-31 going into halftime. With the win locked early, the Hornets were able to rest their starters early and allow their bench players to play plenty of minutes in the second half which is ideal for a back to back set.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat fell to the Magic in their season opener but they were able to bounce back with a 113-112 win at Washington on Thursday. Josh Richardson led the team with 28 points and five assists, Rodney McGruder added 20 points with eight rebounds and six assists while Derrick Jones Jr. chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Heat shot just 39 percent from the field and 12 of 35 from the three-point line but they made up for it by grabbing a total of 22 offensive rebounds, which was literally the difference in the game as it was Kelly Olynyk who made a putback shot with just 0.2 seconds left in the fourth quarter to steal the game.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Hornets are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 Saturday games and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on zero days rest. The Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games, 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings, the Hornets are 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Miami and 0-5-1 ATS in the last six meetings overall.

It’s always tough to get up for the second road game of a back to back set, but it’s still early in the season and the Hornets were able to rest their starters in last night’s massive win at Orlando. The Heat will be feeling like they got away with robbery in their last outing, but they could easily be down 0-2 to start the season so you can’t be feeling too confident if you’re a Heat fan. With that being said, I really like the Hornets’ new small-ball lineups and Walker looks to be in mid-season form so while I don’t have the betting trends to support it, I’m taking the Hornets with the points in a game they could easily win outright.

 

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Peter’s Pick Charlotte +4

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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