Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 2/23/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 2/23/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota Timberwolves (16-38) at Denver Nuggets (38-18)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, February 23, 2020 at 6:00 pm (Pepsi Center)

The Line: Denver Nuggets -12.5 -- Over/Under: 227

TV: NBAtv, ALT, FSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday in NBA action at the Pepsi Center.

The Minnesota Timberwolves need a win after losing 10 of their last 11 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 112.5 points on 43.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.1 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 26.5 points and 10.8 rebounds while Malik Beasley is averaging 23.3 points and 2.5 assists. D'Angelo Russell is the third double-digit scorer and Juan Hernangomez is dishing one assist. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Timberwolves haven’t won a road game since January 5.

The Denver Nuggets look to stay hot after winning eight of their last 12 games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 110.3 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 106.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.8 points and 10.2 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.9 points and 4.7 assists. Will Barton is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won four of their last five home games.

The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall. The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-1 in Timberwolves last 5 overall. The over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 home games. The Timberwolves are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Denver. 

I don't like laying double-digit chalk in the NBA, and the Denver Nuggets can be up and down in terms of effort and blowing teams out. The Denver Nuggets are also just 3-6 against the spread this season as a double-digit favorite. However, the Minnesota Timberwolves are just 18-34-2 against the spread this season and are a team we've faded all season long, cashing on most of those failed covers. There's probably better options on this Sunday NBA card, but if forced to pick, I'll lay the chalk with the Nuggets.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -12.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.