Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks - 2/28/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks - 2/28/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (36-23) at Miami Heat (36-22)

NBA Basketball: Friday, February 28, 2020 at 8:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -2 -- Over/Under:

TV: FSSW, SUN

The Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat meet Friday in NBA action at the AmericanAirlines Arena.

The Dallas Mavericks look for a win after winning five of their last seven games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 116.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.7 points and 8.7 assists while Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 18.7 points and 9.2 rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Seth Curry is dishing two assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.2 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have won four of their last six road games.

The Miami Heat need a win after losing seven of their last nine games. The Miami Heat are averaging 112.5 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 20.5 points and 6.8 rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 16.3 points and five assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Kendrick Nunn is dishing 3.6 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have split their last six home games.

The Mavericks are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami and 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

The Miami Heat have won eight of the last nine meetings against the Dallas Mavericks, and while it looks like the wheels are starting to come off a bit, they're still winning at home by an average of 10.4 points and are 18-8-1 against the spread at home. The Dallas Mavericks have been hit or miss all season long, and Doncic is battling a thumb injury, so who knows what happens with his status. Eventually the Heat need to buckle down and stop the bleeding. This feels like a good spot to do just that after some foolish losses. 

Randy’s Pick Miami Heat -2

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.