New Orleans Pelicans vs. Miami Heat - 3/6/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Miami Heat - 3/6/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (40-22) at New Orleans Pelicans (26-36)

NBA Basketball: Friday, March 6, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Smoothie King Center)

The Line: New Orleans Pelicans -2 -- Over/Under: 235.5

TV: FSNO, SUN, ESPN

The Miami Heat and New Orleans Pelicans meet Friday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center.

The Miami Heat look for a win to build on their four-game winning streak. The Miami Heat are averaging 112.7 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 20.5 points and 6.7 rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 16.3 points and 5.1 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Kendrick Nunn is dishing 3.5 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have lost five of their last six road games.

The New Orleans Pelicans need a win after losing four of their last five games. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 116.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Brandon Ingram is averaging 24.6 points and 4.3 assists while Zion Williamson is averaging 24.1 points and 6.8 rebounds. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and JJ Redick is dishing two assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game. The New Orleans Pelicans have lost three of their last four home games.

The Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 8-1 in Heat last 9 overall. The over is 22-8 in Pelicans last 30 overall. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

I get the New Orleans Pelicans are fighting for their playoff lives, have held their own against some of the leagues best and are playing decent basketball overall since the all star break. However, the Miami Heat are the better team in this game and enter this contest shooting a healthy 48.7 percent from the field and 45.6 percent from three in their last five games. I get the road struggles of the Heat and the 12-18-1 against the spread record on the road, but we're getting a free bucket with the better team no matter how you slice it. I'll take it.

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Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +2

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.