Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz - 9/1/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Utah Jazz (47-31) at Denver Nuggets (49-30)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, September 1, 2020 at 8:30 pm (AdventHealth Arena)
The Line: Denver Nuggets +1 -- Over/Under: 220.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets meet Tuesday in game seven of NBA playoff action at the AdventHealth Arena.
The Utah Jazz will advance to the second round of the playoffs for the third time in the last four years with a victory here. The Utah Jazz are averaging 119.3 points on 50.4 percent shooting and allowing 115 points on 48.1 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 38.7 points and 5.5 assists while Mike Conley is averaging 22.8 points and 4.8 assists. Jordan Clarkson is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 10.3 rebounds. The Utah Jazz are shooting 44.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The Utah Jazz are allowing 44.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game.
The Denver Nuggets will make it back-to-back second round playoff appearances with a victory here. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 115 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 119.3 points on 50.4 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 34 points and 6.7 assists while Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.7 points and 7.2 rebounds. Jerami Grant is the third double-digit scorer and Michael Porter Jr. is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 43.2 percent from beyond the arc and 86 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 44.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.3 rebounds per game.
The Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite, 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games. The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Conference Quarterfinals games. The over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 overall. The ver is 37-18-1 in Nuggets last 56 overall. The Jazz are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Denver and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
I've been backing the Utah Jazz a lot in this series and it felt like they were in control of this thing until their game six loss. It feels like the Jazz allowed this series to slip through their hands. The Nuggets are coming off their best defensive performance of the series, and Murray has reached another level, matching Mitchell score for score, and he's taken over in the fourth quarter while the Jazz have had turnover issues at the worst possible times. Experience also matters in game sevens, and while the Nuggets are a young team, they played in two game sevens last year against the San Antonio Spurs and Portland Trail Blazers. The Nuggets can lean on those matchups to guide them to a victory in this matchup.
I like the Nuggets to advance to the next round.