Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat - 9/2/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat - 9/2/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (49-29) at Milwaukee Bucks (60-19)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, September 2, 2020 at 6:30 pm (HP Field House)

The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 -- Over/Under: 221 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks meet Wednesday in game two of NBA playoff action at the HP Field House.  

The Miami Heat look for another upset victory here to take a quick 2-0 series lead. The Miami Heat are averaging 112 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 101.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 23.8 points and five rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 23.6 points and five assists. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Bam Adebayo is dishing 5.4 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 39 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 39.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

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The Milwaukee Bucks need a bounce back victory here to even up the series at 1-1. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.2 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 108.3 points on 42.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.5 points and 15 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 17.2 points and 5.2 assists. Brook Lopez is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Bledsoe is dishing 6.6 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.4 percent from beyond the arc and 68.1 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.7 rebounds per game.

The Heat are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 overall. The Heat are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

The Miami Heat got off to a shaky start in game one, but they settled down in the final three quarters and pretty much suffocated the Bucks with their defense. With so many wing defenders, this isn't new if you've been paying attention when these teams play. The Heat make life difficult for the Bucks every time they play. I'm also concerned that the Bucks weren't able to win when Middleton actually played well and the Heat didn't shoot the ball well from three. You're going to see Duncan Robinon and Herro go off eventually, and those are games the Heat don't lose. The Heat are also the favorites to win the East if Butler truly found his shot, and Monday night wasn't a fluke.

I said I had the Heat winning this series in my game one write up, so give me points and the ML with Miami once again.

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Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +4.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.